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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 21 October 2020

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 18
  4. 26
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 731 of 1,352 under them

← 2020-10-17All recent draws2020-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 18 26 38 40 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd5th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 110 of each

1120times
6102times
18115times
26105times
38

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$294.7Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 270lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$40.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball48%NZ$142.8K
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$43.5K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$67.8K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

91times
40110times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each

964times

Every number was expected about that many times after 730 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 18, 26, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 June 2017 — its closest relative in 730 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 October 2020): 40 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball23≈ 16 by chanceNZ$1,034
  • Match 4 + Powerball701≈ 670 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,522≈ 9.5k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$43,486
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$107
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,022NZ$38.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 701 winners, 5% more than the 670 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$43,486
    Match 5 + Powerball23NZ$1,034
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$107
    Match 4 + Powerball701NZ$58.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,022NZ$38.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,522NZ$15.00
    Totals11,317—