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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 26 September 2020

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 9
  4. 11
  5. 23
  6. 37
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$6,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 724 of 1,352 under them

← 2020-09-23All recent draws2020-09-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 9 11 23 37 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd99th
  • low79th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each

1117times
3103times
9106times
11104times
23

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-26

  • Lines in play≈ 6.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$504.1Kto 24k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 269lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$76.5K
  • Match 3 + Powerball59%NZ$299.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$69K
  • 2 other tiers12%NZ$58.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

114times
37105times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each

368times

Every number was expected about that many times after 723 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 9, 23, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 October 2017 — its closest relative in 723 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 September 2020): 1, 11 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

84

The numbers add up to 84 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$6,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball32≈ 34 by chanceNZ$1,582
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,663≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$46.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball19,990≈ 20k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball92NZ$88.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,091NZ$33.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,663 winners, 18% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$6,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball32NZ$1,582
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball92NZ$88.00
    Match 4 + Powerball1,663NZ$46.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,091NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Powerball19,990NZ$15.00
    Totals23,868—