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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 22 July 2020

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 18
  4. 20
  5. 30
  6. 40
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$20,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 705 of 1,352 under them

← 2020-07-18All recent draws2020-07-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 18 20 30 40 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd1th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 106 of each

4102times
10113times
18110times
20104times
30

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-22

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$605.3Kto 28k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 268lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$93K
  • Match 3 + Powerball58%NZ$352.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$85.6K
  • 2 other tiers12%NZ$74.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

99times
40103times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

768times

Every number was expected about that many times after 704 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 20, 30, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 May 2019 — its closest relative in 704 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 July 2020): 10 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$20,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball52≈ 40 by chanceNZ$1,229
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,938≈ 1.7k by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball23,503≈ 24k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball124NZ$83.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,517NZ$34.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,938 winners, 17% more than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$20,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball52NZ$1,229
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball124NZ$83.00
    Match 4 + Powerball1,938NZ$48.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,517NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Powerball23,503NZ$15.00
    Totals28,134—