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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 18 March 2020

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 12
  3. 18
  4. 20
  5. 28
  6. 36
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 669 of 1,352 under them

← 2020-03-14All recent draws2020-03-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 12 18 20 28 36 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd1th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 100 of each

2104times
12102times
18105times
2096times
28

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-18

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$241.8Kto 10k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$39.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball55%NZ$133.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$36.1K
  • 2 other tiers13%NZ$32.6K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

96times
3699times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

1057times

Every number was expected about that many times after 668 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 18, 28, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 November 2017 — its closest relative in 668 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 March 2020): 36 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball14≈ 15 by chanceNZ$2,003
  • Match 4 + Powerball677≈ 628 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball8,925≈ 8.9k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball38NZ$119
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball840NZ$43.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 677 winners, 8% more than the 628 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball14NZ$2,003
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball38NZ$119
    Match 4 + Powerball677NZ$58.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball840NZ$43.00
    Match 3 + Powerball8,925NZ$15.00
    Totals10,494—