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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 31 July 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 16
  4. 22
  5. 25
  6. 40
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$6,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 603 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-07-27All recent draws2019-08-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 16 22 25 40 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 July 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum41th
  • odd5th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 90 of each

487times
1096times
1685times
2292times
25

Prize breakdown · 2019-07-31

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$272.5Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$38.1K
  • Match 3 + Powerball53%NZ$145.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball13%NZ$35.4K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$53.7K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

88times
4089times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

282times

Every number was expected about that many times after 602 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 22, 25, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 September 2016 — its closest relative in 602 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 July 2019): 4 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

117

The numbers add up to 117 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$6,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball20≈ 17 by chanceNZ$950
  • Match 4 + Powerball718≈ 682 by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,695≈ 9.7k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$30,525
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball35NZ$119
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball842NZ$42.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 718 winners, 5% more than the 682 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$6,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$30,525
    Match 5 + Powerball20NZ$950
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball35NZ$119
    Match 4 + Powerball718NZ$53.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball842NZ$42.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,695NZ$15.00
    Totals11,311—