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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 22 May 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 12
  4. 14
  5. 16
  6. 28
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$9,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 583 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-05-18All recent draws2019-05-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 12 14 16 28 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd5th
  • low95th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

289times
392times
1291times
1494times
16

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-22

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$9.5Mto 14k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 264lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball1 winnerchance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 6 + Powerball97%NZ$9.2M
  • Match 3 + Powerball1.9%NZ$178.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball0.5%NZ$47K
  • 3 other tiers0.9%NZ$86.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball1≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

82times
2882times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each

759times

Every number was expected about that many times after 582 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 3, 16) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 May 2019 — its closest relative in 582 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 May 2019): 12 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$9,200,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball22≈ 20 by chanceNZ$1,522
  • Match 4 + Powerball866≈ 837 by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball11,905≈ 12k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball95NZ$70.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,567NZ$30.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 866 winners, 3% more than the 837 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball1NZ$9,200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball22NZ$1,522
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball95NZ$70.00
    Match 4 + Powerball866NZ$54.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,567NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Powerball11,905NZ$15.00
    Totals14,456—