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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 4 May 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 27
  3. 29
  4. 34
  5. 36
  6. 37
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 578 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-05-01All recent draws2019-05-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 27 29 34 36 37 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

483times
2780times
2988times
3480times
36

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$373.1Kto 16k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball17%NZ$62.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball54%NZ$200.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball16%NZ$57.9K
  • 2 other tiers14%NZ$51.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

88times
3787times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each

853times

Every number was expected about that many times after 577 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 34, 36, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 August 2014 — its closest relative in 577 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 May 2019): 37 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball23≈ 23 by chanceNZ$1,978
  • Match 4 + Powerball978≈ 941 by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball13,389≈ 13k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$132
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,315NZ$44.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 978 winners, 4% more than the 941 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball23NZ$1,978
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$132
    Match 4 + Powerball978NZ$64.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,315NZ$44.00
    Match 3 + Powerball13,389NZ$15.00
    Totals15,753—