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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 20 March 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 12
  3. 21
  4. 23
  5. 30
  6. 33
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 565 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-03-16All recent draws2019-03-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 12 21 23 30 33 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 March 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each

1081times
1288times
2182times
2386times
30

Prize breakdown · 2019-03-20

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$277.2Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$38.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball52%NZ$144.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball12%NZ$34.1K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$60.7K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

80times
3384times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

758times

Every number was expected about that many times after 564 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 21, 33) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 October 2018 — its closest relative in 564 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 March 2019): 21 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball27≈ 16 by chanceNZ$905
  • Match 4 + Powerball710≈ 676 by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,609≈ 9.6k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$32,149
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball37NZ$110
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball922NZ$37.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 710 winners, 5% more than the 676 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$32,149
    Match 5 + Powerball27NZ$905
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball37NZ$110
    Match 4 + Powerball710NZ$54.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball922NZ$37.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,609NZ$15.00
    Totals11,306—