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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 23 February 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 31
  3. 33
  4. 36
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 558 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-02-20All recent draws2019-02-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 31 33 36 38 40 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 February 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum100th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 84 of each

1390times
3180times
3383times
3684times
38

Prize breakdown · 2019-02-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$354.3Kto 15k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$56.2K
  • Match 3 + Powerball55%NZ$195.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$52.5K
  • 3 other tiers14%NZ$49.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

70times
4085times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

955times

Every number was expected about that many times after 557 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 31, 38, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 July 2014 — its closest relative in 557 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 71% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 February 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

191

The numbers add up to 191 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.2× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball18≈ 22 by chanceNZ$1,298
  • Match 4 + Powerball892≈ 918 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball13,054≈ 13k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$20,304
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball62NZ$99.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,220NZ$43.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 892 winners, 3% fewer than the 918 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$20,304
    Match 5 + Powerball18NZ$1,298
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball62NZ$99.00
    Match 4 + Powerball892NZ$63.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,220NZ$43.00
    Match 3 + Powerball13,054NZ$15.00
    Totals15,247—