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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 16 January 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 30
  6. 35
  7. 1

JackpotNZ$7,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 547 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-01-12All recent draws2019-01-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 21 22 30 35 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 January 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

77oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 77 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each

387times
875times
2179times
2281times
30

Prize breakdown · 2019-01-16

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$246.2Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$40.1K
  • Match 3 + Powerball56%NZ$137.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$37.1K
  • 2 other tiers13%NZ$31.8K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

79times
3587times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

151times

Every number was expected about that many times after 546 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 21, 22, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 November 2016 — its closest relative in 546 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 71% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 January 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$7,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball10≈ 16 by chanceNZ$2,685
  • Match 4 + Powerball647≈ 643 by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,147≈ 9.1k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball43NZ$115
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball807NZ$46.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 647 winners, 1% more than the 643 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$7,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball10NZ$2,685
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball43NZ$115
    Match 4 + Powerball647NZ$62.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball807NZ$46.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,147NZ$15.00
    Totals10,654—