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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 9 January 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 11
  4. 12
  5. 23
  6. 40
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 545 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-01-05All recent draws2019-01-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 11 12 23 40 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 January 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each

478times
667times
1178times
1285times
23

Prize breakdown · 2019-01-09

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$255Kto 12k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 269lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$38.9K
  • Match 3 + Powerball59%NZ$150.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$35.6K
  • 2 other tiers12%NZ$30.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

83times
4080times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each

650times

Every number was expected about that many times after 544 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 11, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 March 2018 — its closest relative in 544 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 71% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 January 2019): 4, 23 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball15≈ 17 by chanceNZ$1,729
  • Match 4 + Powerball777≈ 705 by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball10,032≈ 10k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball42NZ$100
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,111NZ$32.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 777 winners, 10% more than the 705 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball15NZ$1,729
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball42NZ$100
    Match 4 + Powerball777NZ$50.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,111NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Powerball10,032NZ$15.00
    Totals11,977—