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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 5 December 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 18
  4. 23
  5. 24
  6. 25
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$7,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 535 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-12-01All recent draws2018-12-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 18 23 24 25 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

189times
568times
1891times
2380times
24

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-05

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$237.5Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$36.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball57%NZ$135.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$34.2K
  • 2 other tiers13%NZ$31.2K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

80times
2579times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

953times

Every number was expected about that many times after 534 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 24, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 January 2018 — its closest relative in 534 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 December 2018): 25 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24, 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$7,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball14≈ 15 by chanceNZ$1,899
  • Match 4 + Powerball679≈ 635 by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,029≈ 9.0k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball51NZ$91.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball854NZ$40.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 679 winners, 7% more than the 635 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$7,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball14NZ$1,899
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball51NZ$91.00
    Match 4 + Powerball679NZ$54.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball854NZ$40.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,029NZ$15.00
    Totals10,627—