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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 28 November 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 19
  3. 20
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 38
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 533 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-11-24All recent draws2018-12-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 19 20 30 31 38 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

1890times
1997times
2074times
3074times
31

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-28

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$257Kto 10k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$38.1K
  • Match 3 + Powerball52%NZ$132.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$34.7K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$51.3K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

73times
3867times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

755times

Every number was expected about that many times after 532 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (19, 30, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 August 2018 — its closest relative in 532 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 November 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19, 19–20, 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball19≈ 15 by chanceNZ$1,057
  • Match 4 + Powerball625≈ 623 by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball8,856≈ 8.9k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$26,752
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball38NZ$118
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball807NZ$43.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 625 winners, 0% more than the 623 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$26,752
    Match 5 + Powerball19NZ$1,057
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball38NZ$118
    Match 4 + Powerball625NZ$61.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball807NZ$43.00
    Match 3 + Powerball8,856NZ$15.00
    Totals10,346—