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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 24 October 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 19
  3. 24
  4. 33
  5. 37
  6. 39
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$6,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 523 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-10-20All recent draws2018-10-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 19 24 33 37 39 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd95th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

983times
1996times
2477times
3379times
37

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-24

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$260.3Kto 10k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 274lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$37.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball50%NZ$131.3K
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$37.5K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$53.8K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

77times
3973times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

848times

Every number was expected about that many times after 522 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (24, 33, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 July 2018 — its closest relative in 522 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

161

The numbers add up to 161 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$6,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball15≈ 15 by chanceNZ$1,067
  • Match 4 + Powerball650≈ 615 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball8,753≈ 8.8k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$37,500
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball42NZ$109
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball773NZ$43.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 650 winners, 6% more than the 615 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$6,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$37,500
    Match 5 + Powerball15NZ$1,067
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball42NZ$109
    Match 4 + Powerball650NZ$58.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball773NZ$43.00
    Match 3 + Powerball8,753NZ$15.00
    Totals10,234—