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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 17 October 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 17
  4. 21
  5. 26
  6. 33
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 521 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-10-13All recent draws2018-10-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 17 21 26 33 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

567times
1074times
1784times
2177times
26

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-17

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$225Kto 10k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$33.2K
  • Match 3 + Powerball59%NZ$133.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$33.2K
  • 2 other tiers11%NZ$25K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

79times
3378times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

753times

Every number was expected about that many times after 520 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 17, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 July 2018 — its closest relative in 520 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2018): 5, 26 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball8≈ 15 by chanceNZ$2,550
  • Match 4 + Powerball603≈ 627 by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball8,912≈ 8.9k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball56NZ$82.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball897NZ$37.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 603 winners, 4% fewer than the 627 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball8NZ$2,550
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball56NZ$82.00
    Match 4 + Powerball603NZ$55.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball897NZ$37.00
    Match 3 + Powerball8,912NZ$15.00
    Totals10,476—