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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 12 September 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 8
  4. 11
  5. 19
  6. 36
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$7,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 511 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-09-08All recent draws2018-09-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 8 11 19 36 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

184times
381times
868times
1173times
19

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-12

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$7.5Mto 13k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball1 winnerchance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 6 + Powerball96%NZ$7.2M
  • Match 4 + Powerball0.5%NZ$39.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball2.2%NZ$161.8K
  • 4 other tiers1.3%NZ$95.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball1≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

94times
3679times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

751times

Every number was expected about that many times after 510 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 8, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 September 2018 — its closest relative in 510 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

78

The numbers add up to 78 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$7,200,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball19≈ 18 by chanceNZ$952
  • Match 4 + Powerball863≈ 758 by chanceNZ$46.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball10,786≈ 11k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$18,981
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball41NZ$109
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball858NZ$41.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 863 winners, 14% more than the 758 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball1NZ$7,200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$18,981
    Match 5 + Powerball19NZ$952
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball41NZ$109
    Match 4 + Powerball863NZ$46.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball858NZ$41.00
    Match 3 + Powerball10,786NZ$15.00
    Totals12,570—