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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 5 September 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 13
  4. 30
  5. 33
  6. 35
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 509 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-09-01All recent draws2018-09-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 13 30 33 35 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

80oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 80 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 76 of each

472times
1278times
1384times
3071times
33

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-05

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$253.1Kto 10k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$39.1K
  • Match 3 + Powerball51%NZ$130.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$34.5K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$49.3K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

77times
3580times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

647times

Every number was expected about that many times after 508 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 12, 33, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 August 2018 — its closest relative in 508 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 23% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball17≈ 15 by chanceNZ$1,248
  • Match 4 + Powerball620≈ 610 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball8,680≈ 8.7k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$24,258
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball29NZ$133
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball766NZ$45.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 620 winners, 2% more than the 610 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$24,258
    Match 5 + Powerball17NZ$1,248
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball29NZ$133
    Match 4 + Powerball620NZ$63.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball766NZ$45.00
    Match 3 + Powerball8,680NZ$15.00
    Totals10,113—