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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 15 August 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 18
  4. 27
  5. 33
  6. 35
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$22,333,333

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 503 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-08-11All recent draws2018-08-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 18 27 33 35 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

470times
1276times
1886times
2769times
33

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$22.8Mto 22k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball1 winnerchance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 6 + Powerball98%NZ$22.3M
  • Match 4 + Powerball0.3%NZ$78.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball1.3%NZ$285.5K
  • 3 other tiers0.6%NZ$132.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball1≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

76times
3579times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

847times

Every number was expected about that many times after 502 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 27, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 June 2018 — its closest relative in 502 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 August 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$22,333,333
  • Match 5 + Powerball27≈ 32 by chanceNZ$1,974
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,405≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball19,034≈ 19k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball89NZ$102
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,855NZ$38.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,405 winners, 5% more than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball1NZ$22,333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball27NZ$1,974
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball89NZ$102
    Match 4 + Powerball1,405NZ$56.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,855NZ$38.00
    Match 3 + Powerball19,034NZ$15.00
    Totals22,411—