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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 21 July 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 12
  5. 31
  6. 34
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$9,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 496 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-07-18All recent draws2018-07-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 10 12 31 34 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each

182times
864times
1070times
1275times
31

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-21

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$416.7Kto 18k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$63.9K
  • Match 3 + Powerball57%NZ$235.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$60.1K
  • 2 other tiers14%NZ$57K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

70times
3469times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

645times

Every number was expected about that many times after 495 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 12, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 March 2018 — its closest relative in 495 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$9,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball28≈ 27 by chanceNZ$1,747
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,121≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball15,714≈ 16k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball77NZ$105
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,541NZ$39.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,121 winners, 1% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$9,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball28NZ$1,747
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball77NZ$105
    Match 4 + Powerball1,121NZ$57.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,541NZ$39.00
    Match 3 + Powerball15,714NZ$15.00
    Totals18,481—