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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 31 January 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 16
  5. 31
  6. 39
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$18,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 447 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-01-27All recent draws2018-02-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 11 16 31 39 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 January 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

556times
1063times
1166times
1662times
31

Prize breakdown · 2018-01-31

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$378.5Kto 17k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$57.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball57%NZ$216K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$55.1K
  • 2 other tiers13%NZ$50.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

64times
3964times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

546times

Every number was expected about that many times after 446 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 11, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 December 2017 — its closest relative in 446 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 January 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$18,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball27≈ 25 by chanceNZ$1,606
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,023≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball14,399≈ 14k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball68NZ$99.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,413NZ$39.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,023 winners, 1% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$18,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball27NZ$1,606
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball68NZ$99.00
    Match 4 + Powerball1,023NZ$56.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,413NZ$39.00
    Match 3 + Powerball14,399NZ$15.00
    Totals16,930—