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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 30 September 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 16
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 32
  6. 34
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$7,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 412 of 1,351 under them

← 2017-09-27All recent draws2017-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 16 24 25 32 34 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd5th
  • low21th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

456times
1655times
2462times
2553times
32

Prize breakdown · 2017-09-30

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$405.6Kto 17k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$61.8K
  • Match 3 + Powerball52%NZ$211.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$57.2K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$75.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

63times
3454times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

252times

Every number was expected about that many times after 411 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (24, 25, 32, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 September 2016 — its closest relative in 411 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2017): 34 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$7,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball28≈ 24 by chanceNZ$1,197
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,047≈ 992 by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball14,102≈ 14k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$17,343
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball69NZ$101
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,394NZ$41.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,047 winners, 6% more than the 992 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$7,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$17,343
    Match 5 + Powerball28NZ$1,197
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball69NZ$101
    Match 4 + Powerball1,047NZ$59.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,394NZ$41.00
    Match 3 + Powerball14,102NZ$15.00
    Totals16,642—