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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 20 September 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 16
  3. 20
  4. 33
  5. 35
  6. 36
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 409 of 1,351 under them

← 2017-09-16All recent draws2017-09-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 16 20 33 35 36 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 September 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

1059times
1654times
2056times
3361times
35

Prize breakdown · 2017-09-20

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$224.4Kto 8.3k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 274lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$32.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball47%NZ$105.8K
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$33.2K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$52.7K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

65times
3668times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

941times

Every number was expected about that many times after 408 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 16, 36) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 September 2017 — its closest relative in 408 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 September 2017): 20 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball14≈ 12 by chanceNZ$1,306
  • Match 4 + Powerball481≈ 496 by chanceNZ$68.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball7,051≈ 7.1k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$33,169
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball33NZ$118
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball679NZ$45.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Powerball — 7,051 winners, 0% more than the 7.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$33,169
    Match 5 + Powerball14NZ$1,306
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball33NZ$118
    Match 4 + Powerball481NZ$68.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball679NZ$45.00
    Match 3 + Powerball7,051NZ$15.00
    Totals8,259—