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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 17 May 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 12
  5. 28
  6. 30
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$20,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 373 of 1,352 under them

← 2017-05-13All recent draws2017-05-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 11 12 28 30 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 May 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

960times
1049times
1156times
1252times
28

Prize breakdown · 2017-05-17

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$442.9Kto 19k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 271lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$62.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball56%NZ$247.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$59.9K
  • 3 other tiers16%NZ$72.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
3055times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each

840times

Every number was expected about that many times after 372 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 11, 12) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 March 2017 — its closest relative in 372 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 10–11, 11–12. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 6.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$20,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball29≈ 28 by chanceNZ$1,075
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,254≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball16,500≈ 17k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$33,756
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball91NZ$87.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,618NZ$37.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,254 winners, 8% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$20,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$33,756
    Match 5 + Powerball29NZ$1,075
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball91NZ$87.00
    Match 4 + Powerball1,254NZ$50.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,618NZ$37.00
    Match 3 + Powerball16,500NZ$15.00
    Totals19,493—