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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 1 March 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 11
  3. 18
  4. 21
  5. 22
  6. 38
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 351 of 1,352 under them

← 2017-02-25All recent draws2017-03-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 11 18 21 22 38 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 March 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

152times
1149times
1863times
2154times
22

Prize breakdown · 2017-03-01

  • Lines in play≈ 2.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$125.1Kto 9.9k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.7%NZ$7.1K
  • Match 3 + Powerball81%NZ$101.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball7.2%NZ$9K
  • 3 other tiers6.2%NZ$7.8K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
3846times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

1030times

Every number was expected about that many times after 350 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 11, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 January 2017 — its closest relative in 350 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 February 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball18≈ 14 by chanceNZ$189
  • Match 4 + Powerball595≈ 593 by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball8,427≈ 8.4k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$3,551
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball42NZ$20.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball820NZ$11.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 595 winners, 0% more than the 593 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$3,551
    Match 5 + Powerball18NZ$189
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball42NZ$20.00
    Match 4 + Powerball595NZ$12.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball820NZ$11.00
    Match 3 + Powerball8,427NZ$12.00
    Totals0—