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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 8 February 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 25
  4. 35
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 345 of 1,351 under them

← 2017-02-04All recent draws2017-02-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 25 35 39 40 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 February 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum83th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

444times
649times
2541times
3552times
39

Prize breakdown · 2017-02-08

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$121.5Kto 9.6k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 277lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.7%NZ$6.9K
  • Match 3 + Powerball81%NZ$98.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball6.8%NZ$8.2K
  • 3 other tiers6.1%NZ$7.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

51times
4053times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

532times

Every number was expected about that many times after 344 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 25, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 September 2016 — its closest relative in 344 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 February 2017): 39 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball9≈ 14 by chanceNZ$361
  • Match 4 + Powerball529≈ 580 by chanceNZ$13.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball8,245≈ 8.2k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$3,389
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball29NZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball747NZ$11.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 529 winners, 9% fewer than the 580 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$3,389
    Match 5 + Powerball9NZ$361
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball29NZ$27.00
    Match 4 + Powerball529NZ$13.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball747NZ$11.00
    Match 3 + Powerball8,245NZ$12.00
    Totals0—