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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 21 December 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 13
  4. 26
  5. 30
  6. 32
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 331 of 1,351 under them

← 2016-12-17All recent draws2016-12-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 13 26 30 32 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

78oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 78 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

149times
541times
1355times
2654times
30

Prize breakdown · 2016-12-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$5.2Mto 14k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball1 winnerchance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 6 + Powerball97%NZ$5.0M
  • Match 3 + Powerball2.7%NZ$139.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball0.2%NZ$11.1K
  • 3 other tiers0.3%NZ$17.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball1≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
3248times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each

529times

Every number was expected about that many times after 330 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 30, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 January 2016 — its closest relative in 330 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 52% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 December 2016): 26 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball17≈ 20 by chanceNZ$492
  • Match 4 + Powerball853≈ 816 by chanceNZ$10.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball11,602≈ 12k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball46NZ$22.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,114NZ$10.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 853 winners, 5% more than the 816 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball1NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball17NZ$492
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball46NZ$22.00
    Match 4 + Powerball853NZ$10.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,114NZ$10.00
    Match 3 + Powerball11,602NZ$12.00
    Totals0—