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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 21 September 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 17
  4. 21
  5. 31
  6. 34
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$12,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 305 of 1,351 under them

← 2016-09-17All recent draws2016-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 17 21 31 34 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

1039times
1137times
1750times
2147times
31

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$150.4Kto 12k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.7%NZ$8.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball81%NZ$121.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball7.4%NZ$11.1K
  • 2 other tiers6.2%NZ$9.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

47times
3440times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

1025times

Every number was expected about that many times after 304 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 21, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 April 2016 — its closest relative in 304 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 September 2016): 34 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$12,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball17≈ 17 by chanceNZ$494
  • Match 4 + Powerball714≈ 711 by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball10,114≈ 10k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball38NZ$26.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball923NZ$12.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 714 winners, 0% more than the 711 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$12,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball17NZ$494
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball38NZ$26.00
    Match 4 + Powerball714NZ$12.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball923NZ$12.00
    Match 3 + Powerball10,114NZ$12.00
    Totals0—