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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 23 July 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 6
  3. 9
  4. 21
  5. 25
  6. 33
  7. 1

JackpotNZ$7,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 288 of 1,350 under them

← 2016-07-20All recent draws2016-07-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 6 9 21 25 33 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

535times
639times
947times
2144times
25

Prize breakdown · 2016-07-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$237.0Kto 19k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.8%NZ$13.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball81%NZ$192.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball6.7%NZ$15.8K
  • 2 other tiers6.2%NZ$14.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
3347times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

128times

Every number was expected about that many times after 287 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 9, 33) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 May 2016 — its closest relative in 287 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 July 2016): 6, 25 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$7,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball29≈ 27 by chanceNZ$449
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,144≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball16,068≈ 16k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball61NZ$26.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,582NZ$10.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,144 winners, 1% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$7,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball29NZ$449
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball61NZ$26.00
    Match 4 + Powerball1,144NZ$12.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,582NZ$10.00
    Match 3 + Powerball16,068NZ$12.00
    Totals0—