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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 25 May 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 19
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 32
  6. 40
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$11,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 271 of 1,350 under them

← 2016-05-21All recent draws2016-05-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 19 29 30 32 40 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

1349times
1954times
2933times
3037times
32

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-25

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$144.8Kto 12k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.5%NZ$8.0K
  • Match 3 + Powerball81%NZ$117.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball7.1%NZ$10.3K
  • 2 other tiers6.0%NZ$8.7K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

33times
4042times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

239times

Every number was expected about that many times after 270 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (19, 30, 32, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 January 2015 — its closest relative in 270 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 46% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 May 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$11,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball11≈ 17 by chanceNZ$704
  • Match 4 + Powerball730≈ 690 by chanceNZ$11.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,819≈ 9.8k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball39NZ$24.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball935NZ$11.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 730 winners, 6% more than the 690 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$11,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball11NZ$704
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball39NZ$24.00
    Match 4 + Powerball730NZ$11.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball935NZ$11.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,819NZ$12.00
    Totals0—