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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 16 March 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 9
  3. 18
  4. 23
  5. 37
  6. 39
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$10,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 251 of 1,351 under them

← 2016-03-12All recent draws2016-03-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 9 18 23 37 39 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each

839times
940times
1849times
2333times
37

Prize breakdown · 2016-03-16

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$153.0Kto 12k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.4%NZ$8.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball83%NZ$126.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball6.2%NZ$9.5K
  • 2 other tiers5.7%NZ$8.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

37times
3941times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

523times

Every number was expected about that many times after 250 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 18, 39) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 July 2015 — its closest relative in 250 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 March 2016): 9 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$10,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball13≈ 18 by chanceNZ$599
  • Match 4 + Powerball751≈ 741 by chanceNZ$11.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball10,543≈ 11k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball47NZ$20.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,055NZ$9.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 751 winners, 1% more than the 741 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$10,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball13NZ$599
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball47NZ$20.00
    Match 4 + Powerball751NZ$11.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,055NZ$9.00
    Match 3 + Powerball10,543NZ$12.00
    Totals0—