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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 23 December 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 7
  4. 13
  5. 23
  6. 28
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 227 of 1,351 under them

← 2015-12-19All recent draws2015-12-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 7 13 23 28 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

137times
234times
730times
1340times
23

Prize breakdown · 2015-12-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$148.1Kto 12k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.1%NZ$7.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball83%NZ$123.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball6.0%NZ$8.9K
  • 2 other tiers5.5%NZ$8.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
2827times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

620times

Every number was expected about that many times after 226 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 23, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 November 2014 — its closest relative in 226 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 40% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 December 2015): 13 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball26≈ 18 by chanceNZ$281
  • Match 4 + Powerball758≈ 723 by chanceNZ$10.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball10,289≈ 10k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$18.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball985NZ$9.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 758 winners, 5% more than the 723 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball26NZ$281
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$18.00
    Match 4 + Powerball758NZ$10.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball985NZ$9.00
    Match 3 + Powerball10,289NZ$12.00
    Totals0—