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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 21 October 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 12
  3. 13
  4. 16
  5. 23
  6. 31
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$10,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 209 of 1,352 under them

← 2015-10-17All recent draws2015-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 12 13 16 23 31 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

232times
1228times
1335times
1628times
23

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$134.4Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.1%NZ$6.9K
  • Match 3 + Powerball83%NZ$111.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball6.6%NZ$8.8K
  • 2 other tiers5.6%NZ$7.5K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

26times
3134times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

518times

Every number was expected about that many times after 208 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 16, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 October 2015 — its closest relative in 208 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 October 2015): 12 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$10,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball16≈ 16 by chanceNZ$417
  • Match 4 + Powerball688≈ 652 by chanceNZ$10.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,271≈ 9.3k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball47NZ$17.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball883NZ$10.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 688 winners, 6% more than the 652 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$10,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball16NZ$417
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball47NZ$17.00
    Match 4 + Powerball688NZ$10.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball883NZ$10.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,271NZ$12.00
    Totals0—