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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 23 August 2014

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 16
  3. 20
  4. 25
  5. 29
  6. 37
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 146 of 1,352 under them

← 2014-08-16All recent draws2014-08-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 16 20 25 29 37 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

80oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 80 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.

  • sum62th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

423times
1621times
2021times
2514times
29

Prize breakdown · 2014-08-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$219.4Kto 2.2k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 1,868lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Powerball16%NZ$34.2K
  • Match 4 + Powerball33%NZ$71.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball32%NZ$70.5K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$43.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
3718times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

1013times

Every number was expected about that many times after 145 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 20, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 August 2014 — its closest relative in 145 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 August 2014): 29 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball19≈ 22 by chanceNZ$1,798
  • Match 4 + Powerball904≈ 904 by chanceNZ$79.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$17,077
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball46NZ$200
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,236NZ$57.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 904 winners, 0% more than the 904 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$17,077
    Match 5 + Powerball19NZ$1,798
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball46NZ$200
    Match 4 + Powerball904NZ$79.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,236NZ$57.00