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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Powerball · draw
ResultPowerball
JackpotNZ$4,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 22 of 1,350 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 April 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 21 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 21, 24, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 March 2012 — its closest relative in 21 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.6% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (31 March 2012): 5, 21, 24, 35 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 142 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈7.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,556 winners, 0% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 + Powerball | 0 | NZ$4,000,000 |
| Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball | 3 | NZ$17,075 |
| Match 5 + Powerball | 35 | NZ$1,464 |
| Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball | 101 | NZ$136 |
| Match 4 + Powerball | 1,556 | NZ$68.00 |
| Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball | 2,014 | NZ$52.00 |