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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 October 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 17
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 27
  6. 32
  7. 28

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,249 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-10-01All recent draws2025-10-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 17 24 25 27 32 + 2817 Sept 2026, 01:15 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

14170times
17208times
24200times
25196times
27

Prize breakdown · 2025-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 9.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 319k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$575.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$577.3K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$650.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

176times
32188times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,248 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 17, 24, 32) with the draw of 14 December 2024 — its closest relative in 1,248 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 October 2025): 27, 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 15 by chanceNZ$19,545
  • Match 5459≈ 492 by chanceNZ$633
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,235≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 419,849≈ 20k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,241≈ 26k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3271,035≈ 271k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 19,849 winners, 1% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$19,545
    Match 5459NZ$633
    Match 4 + Bonus1,235NZ$54.00
    Match 419,849NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,241NZ$22.00
    Match 3271,035NZ$0.00
    Totals318,835—