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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 1 October 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 10
  3. 22
  4. 27
  5. 32
  6. 38
  7. 33

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,248 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-09-27All recent draws2025-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 10 22 27 32 38 + 3316 Sept 2026, 23:55 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum62th
  • odd5th
  • low21th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

2187times
10207times
22197times
27175times
32

Prize breakdown · 2025-10-01

  • Lines in play≈ 6.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.3Mto 228k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 643%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$437.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$420.9K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$483.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

187times
38178times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,247 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 22, 32, 38) with the draw of 9 July 2022 — its closest relative in 1,247 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2025): 10 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 11 by chanceNZ$24,195
  • Match 5384≈ 352 by chanceNZ$562
  • Match 4 + Bonus854≈ 881 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 414,105≈ 14k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,298≈ 19k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3194,194≈ 194k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 854 winners, 3% fewer than the 881 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$24,195
    Match 5384NZ$562
    Match 4 + Bonus854NZ$58.00
    Match 414,105NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,298NZ$23.00
    Match 3194,194NZ$0.00
    Totals227,847—