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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 December 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 14
  3. 17
  4. 21
  5. 24
  6. 32
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,165 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-12-11All recent draws2024-12-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 14 17 21 24 32 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum43th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 175 of each

10189times
14152times
17198times
21173times
24

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-14

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.4Mto 423k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 3.3

Where the money went

  • Match 630%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$759.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$760.7K
  • 3 other tiers26%NZ$865.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 3.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

188times
32174times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,164 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 14, 17, 21) with the draw of 10 September 2022 — its closest relative in 1,164 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 December 2024): 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 20 by chanceNZ$26,002
  • Match 5637≈ 650 by chanceNZ$607
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,855≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 426,204≈ 26k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus36,226≈ 35k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3358,483≈ 358k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,855 winners, 14% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$26,002
    Match 5637NZ$607
    Match 4 + Bonus1,855NZ$48.00
    Match 426,204NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus36,226NZ$21.00
    Match 3358,483NZ$0.00
    Totals423,423—