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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 December 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 19
  3. 25
  4. 32
  5. 35
  6. 39
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,164 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-12-07All recent draws2024-12-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 19 25 32 35 39 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each

18169times
19201times
25186times
32173times
35

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-11

  • Lines in play≈ 9.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2Mto 327k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$327K
  • Match 433%NZ$657.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$633.7K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$399.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

182times
39160times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,163 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (18, 19, 32, 39) with the draw of 16 November 2019 — its closest relative in 1,163 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 December 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 15 by chanceNZ$20,439
  • Match 5525≈ 504 by chanceNZ$618
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,291≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 420,538≈ 20k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus27,552≈ 27k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3277,515≈ 278k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 525 winners, 4% more than the 504 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$20,439
    Match 5525NZ$618
    Match 4 + Bonus1,291NZ$58.00
    Match 420,538NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus27,552NZ$23.00
    Match 3277,515NZ$0.00
    Totals327,437—