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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 October 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 11
  4. 12
  5. 30
  6. 36
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,002

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,145 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-10-02All recent draws2024-10-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 11 12 30 36 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 172 of each

2172times
3162times
11159times
12183times
30

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-05

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3Mto 340k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 66 winnerschance said 2.6

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$634.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$619.1K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$706.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 66≈ 2.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

165times
36163times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,144 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 12, 30, 36) with the draw of 5 October 2016 — its closest relative in 1,144 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2024): 12 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

94

The numbers add up to 94 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 11–12. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$166,667
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 16 by chanceNZ$22,729
  • Match 5508≈ 520 by chanceNZ$621
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,423≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$51.00
  • Match 420,464≈ 21k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus30,956≈ 28k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3286,818≈ 287k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 30,956 winners, 12% more than the 28k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 66NZ$166,667
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$22,729
    Match 5508NZ$621
    Match 4 + Bonus1,423NZ$51.00
    Match 420,464NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus30,956NZ$20.00
    Match 3286,818NZ$0.00
    Totals340,189—