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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 30 December 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 25
  5. 33
  6. 38
  7. 30

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,065 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-12-27All recent draws2024-01-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 17 25 33 38 + 3029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 160 of each

10167times
15177times
17172times
25168times
33

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-30

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.4Mto 417k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 3.2

Where the money went

  • Match 629%NZ$1M
  • Match 423%NZ$783.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$752.3K
  • 3 other tiers26%NZ$878.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 3.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

155times
38147times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,064 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (10, 15, 17, 25, 33) with the draw of 3 November 2021 — its closest relative in 1,064 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.5% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus27≈ 19 by chanceNZ$14,663
  • Match 5645≈ 641 by chanceNZ$609
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,581≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 425,287≈ 26k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus35,824≈ 34k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3353,408≈ 353k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 35,824 winners, 5% more than the 34k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus27NZ$14,663
    Match 5645NZ$609
    Match 4 + Bonus1,581NZ$57.00
    Match 425,287NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus35,824NZ$21.00
    Match 3353,408NZ$0.00
    Totals416,777—