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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 27 December 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 7
  3. 9
  4. 13
  5. 16
  6. 21
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,064 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-12-23All recent draws2023-12-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 7 9 13 16 21 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 159 of each

4161times
7154times
9151times
13159times
16

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-27

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 325k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$543.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$522.8K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$610.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

148times
21158times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,063 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 7, 16, 21) with the draw of 6 March 2019 — its closest relative in 1,063 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

70

The numbers add up to 70 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 15 by chanceNZ$19,642
  • Match 5514≈ 499 by chanceNZ$531
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,282≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$49.00
  • Match 420,900≈ 20k by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus27,514≈ 27k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3274,776≈ 275k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 20,900 winners, 5% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$19,642
    Match 5514NZ$531
    Match 4 + Bonus1,282NZ$49.00
    Match 420,900NZ$26.00
    Match 3 + Bonus27,514NZ$19.00
    Match 3274,776NZ$0.00
    Totals325,001—