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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 December 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 7
  3. 23
  4. 31
  5. 35
  6. 37
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,061 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-12-13All recent draws2023-12-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 7 23 31 35 37 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd99th
  • low21th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 159 of each

1165times
7153times
23181times
31163times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-16

  • Lines in play≈ 8.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.6Mto 273k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$261.6K
  • Match 433%NZ$526.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$504.4K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$318.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

166times
37148times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,060 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (1, 7, 23, 31, 37) with the draw of 18 May 2022 — its closest relative in 1,060 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.5% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 13 by chanceNZ$26,162
  • Match 5409≈ 422 by chanceNZ$634
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,024≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 416,452≈ 17k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,925≈ 23k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3232,541≈ 233k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,024 winners, 3% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$26,162
    Match 5409NZ$634
    Match 4 + Bonus1,024NZ$58.00
    Match 416,452NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,925NZ$22.00
    Match 3232,541NZ$0.00
    Totals273,361—