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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 July 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 15
  4. 21
  5. 24
  6. 34
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,017 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-07-12All recent draws2023-07-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 15 21 24 34 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 152 of each

7148times
11142times
15172times
21152times
24

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 10.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 334k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.6

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$607.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$601.8K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$677.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

164times
34140times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,016 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 11, 15, 34) with the draw of 14 July 2012 — its closest relative in 1,016 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 July 2023): 34 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 16 by chanceNZ$23,450
  • Match 5512≈ 516 by chanceNZ$591
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,293≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 420,956≈ 21k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus27,356≈ 28k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3284,169≈ 284k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 20,956 winners, 2% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$23,450
    Match 5512NZ$591
    Match 4 + Bonus1,293NZ$54.00
    Match 420,956NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus27,356NZ$22.00
    Match 3284,169NZ$0.00
    Totals334,301—