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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 12 July 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 22
  3. 29
  4. 34
  5. 36
  6. 37
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,016 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-07-08All recent draws2023-07-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 22 29 34 36 37 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd21th
  • low5th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 152 of each

8139times
22162times
29163times
34139times
36

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-12

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.4Mto 221k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$227.5K
  • Match 432%NZ$454K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$445.8K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$277.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

138times
37142times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,015 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (29, 34, 36, 37) with the draw of 4 May 2019 — its closest relative in 1,015 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 July 2023): 8 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 10 by chanceNZ$22,749
  • Match 5332≈ 339 by chanceNZ$680
  • Match 4 + Bonus842≈ 848 by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 414,186≈ 14k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,573≈ 18k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3186,834≈ 187k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 14,186 winners, 5% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$22,749
    Match 5332NZ$680
    Match 4 + Bonus842NZ$61.00
    Match 414,186NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,573NZ$24.00
    Match 3186,834NZ$0.00
    Totals220,777—