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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 13 May 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 16
  3. 17
  4. 18
  5. 19
  6. 34
  7. 26

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 999 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-05-10All recent draws2023-05-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 16 17 18 19 34 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 150 of each

7145times
16141times
17161times
18152times
19

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-13

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.3Mto 398k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 3.1

Where the money went

  • Match 631%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$726.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$720.5K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$808.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 3.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

177times
34136times

Every number was expected about that many times after 998 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 16, 17, 18) with the draw of 11 June 2016 — its closest relative in 998 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17, 17–18, 18–19. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus20≈ 19 by chanceNZ$18,227
  • Match 5572≈ 613 by chanceNZ$632
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,470≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 425,037≈ 25k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus32,749≈ 33k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3337,701≈ 338k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 572 winners, 7% fewer than the 613 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus20NZ$18,227
    Match 5572NZ$632
    Match 4 + Bonus1,470NZ$56.00
    Match 425,037NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus32,749NZ$22.00
    Match 3337,701NZ$0.00
    Totals397,551—