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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 6 May 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 10
  3. 15
  4. 18
  5. 25
  6. 27
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 997 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-05-03All recent draws2023-05-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 10 15 18 25 27 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 149 of each

8135times
10158times
15167times
18151times
25

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-06

  • Lines in play≈ 9.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 309k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$532.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$509.7K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$587.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

154times
27135times

Every number was expected about that many times after 996 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 18, 25, 27) with the draw of 1 September 2021 — its closest relative in 996 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 May 2023): 8 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

103

The numbers add up to 103 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 14 by chanceNZ$52,954
  • Match 5560≈ 476 by chanceNZ$469
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,204≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 419,733≈ 19k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,485≈ 25k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3262,286≈ 262k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 19,733 winners, 4% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$52,954
    Match 5560NZ$469
    Match 4 + Bonus1,204NZ$50.00
    Match 419,733NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,485NZ$20.00
    Match 3262,286NZ$0.00
    Totals309,276—