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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 February 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 16
  4. 20
  5. 22
  6. 33
  7. 26

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 975 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-02-15All recent draws2023-02-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 16 20 22 33 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 146 of each

4142times
5140times
16139times
20146times
22

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-18

  • Lines in play≈ 8.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.6Mto 274k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$256.3K
  • Match 432%NZ$505.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$500.4K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$312.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

156times
33141times

Every number was expected about that many times after 974 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 22, 33) with the draw of 10 February 2018 — its closest relative in 974 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 February 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 13 by chanceNZ$23,297
  • Match 5443≈ 425 by chanceNZ$574
  • Match 4 + Bonus966≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$60.00
  • Match 416,844≈ 17k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,758≈ 23k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3234,409≈ 234k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 966 winners, 9% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$23,297
    Match 5443NZ$574
    Match 4 + Bonus966NZ$60.00
    Match 416,844NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,758NZ$23.00
    Match 3234,409NZ$0.00
    Totals274,431—