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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 February 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 24
  3. 26
  4. 27
  5. 28
  6. 39
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 974 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-02-11All recent draws2023-02-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 24 26 27 28 39 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 146 of each

7142times
24157times
26150times
27131times
28

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 197k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 647%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$363.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$355.8K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$409.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

144times
39140times

Every number was expected about that many times after 973 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (26, 27, 28, 39) with the draw of 5 June 2019 — its closest relative in 973 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 February 2023): 28 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27, 27–28. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus2≈ 9.2 by chanceNZ$92,432
  • Match 5261≈ 305 by chanceNZ$702
  • Match 4 + Bonus685≈ 763 by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 412,128≈ 12k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus15,468≈ 16k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3168,157≈ 168k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 685 winners, 10% fewer than the 763 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus2NZ$92,432
    Match 5261NZ$702
    Match 4 + Bonus685NZ$61.00
    Match 412,128NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus15,468NZ$23.00
    Match 3168,157NZ$0.00
    Totals196,702—