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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 16 November 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 13
  3. 23
  4. 24
  5. 34
  6. 40
  7. 19

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 948 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-11-12All recent draws2022-11-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 13 23 24 34 40 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 142 of each

2145times
13140times
23156times
24150times
34

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-16

  • Lines in play≈ 8.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.7Mto 280k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$269.9K
  • Match 433%NZ$541.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$518.6K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$329.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

128times
40140times

Every number was expected about that many times after 947 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 23, 24, 34) with the draw of 5 January 2019 — its closest relative in 947 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 November 2022): 13, 40 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 13 by chanceNZ$20,765
  • Match 5404≈ 432 by chanceNZ$663
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,083≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 416,929≈ 17k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,571≈ 23k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3237,841≈ 238k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 23,571 winners, 2% more than the 23k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$20,765
    Match 5404NZ$663
    Match 4 + Bonus1,083NZ$57.00
    Match 416,929NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,571NZ$22.00
    Match 3237,841NZ$0.00
    Totals279,841—