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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 November 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 22
  3. 25
  4. 26
  5. 37
  6. 40
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 947 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-11-09All recent draws2022-11-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 22 25 26 37 40 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 142 of each

13139times
22152times
25146times
26146times
37

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-12

  • Lines in play≈ 9.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 326k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$618.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$617.5K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$701.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

131times
40139times

Every number was expected about that many times after 946 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 25, 26, 37) with the draw of 19 August 2020 — its closest relative in 946 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 November 2022): 26 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 15 by chanceNZ$15,050
  • Match 5497≈ 505 by chanceNZ$631
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,257≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 419,317≈ 20k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,847≈ 27k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3278,105≈ 278k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 19,317 winners, 4% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$15,050
    Match 5497NZ$631
    Match 4 + Bonus1,257NZ$57.00
    Match 419,317NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,847NZ$23.00
    Match 3278,105NZ$0.00
    Totals326,046—